How will DMK's boat sail in an overturned boat?

The picture of 2024 Lok Sabha elections is clear. The Congress-led Indian Alliance has given tough competition to the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance. Even though the National Democratic Alliance has a majority, the BJP is not in a position to form a government on its own. Meanwhile, Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, who is seen as a skilled player in pulling political coups, is the most talked about. In such a situation, even if the BJP forms the government with the help of allies, questions have arisen as to how the NDA will fare with the help of leaders like Nitish Kumar. The wishes of the regional parties have been fulfilled in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. After 10 years again no party got absolute majority. Now there will be a coalition government at the center where they will have a chance to negotiate. In the last two governments of Narendra Modi, regional parties were included in the government, but the BJP gave them ministers of their choice. The BJP is expected to win 240 seats in this election, far short of the majority of 272 seats. JDU has once again become the lifeline of BJP in Bihar. The glory of Lalu-Tejashwi has faded before Nitish Kumar. Bihar has a total of 40 Lok Sabha constituencies. BJP and Nitish Kumar's JD(U) formed an alliance and contested this election. This is the first time that the BJP is contesting more seats in the NDA. Under the NDA, the BJP fielded candidates in 17 of the total 40 seats in Bihar and the JD(U) in 16. Apart from this, Chirag Paswan's party contested in five seats and Hindustani Awam Morcha in one seat. JD(U) wins 12 out of 16 seats in its quota while BJP wins only 12 out of 17 seats in its quota. The BJP looks set to win less than 240 seats across the country, leaving it 32 seats away from a majority. BJP will have to depend on its allies to form the government, especially the role of parties like Nitish Kumar's JD(U) and Chandrababu Naidu's Telugu Desam. Nitish Kumar, who won 12 MPs, has been brought to the political center as it is not easy for the BJP to form a government without him. The strategy will be discussed at the All India meeting where Nitish Kumar will play a key role in forming the central government in Bihar. In this case, there are also speculations that if Nitish changes his team, he will get a chance to form a government in the middle of the opposition alliance. This is because the opposition Indian Alliance is far from a majority by winning 232 seats. In such a scenario, further strategies will be discussed at the Indian alliance meeting on Wednesday. In such a situation, even if the BJP forms the government with the help of its NDA parties, how will it fare with the help of the JTU parties, because no one knows where Nitish Kumar will land in the middle of politics. Looking at Nitish Kumar's politics, it is difficult to predict what the majority will decide. Nitish Kumar has been a political centerpiece in Bihar politics for two decades. As per their convenience, whenever they want, they join hands with the BJP, form the government, and whenever they want, they leave it and board the Congress-RJT boat. Nitish Kumar, who started his political innings with the Janata Party in the seventies, is known as a politically balanced leader. Even in the BJP, he was a favorite of the opposition parties. As a result, they keep changing their political positions from here to there and from there to here. The Nitish-Lalu alliance that formed an alliance with the BJP in 1998 lasted till 2013. In 2014, when the BJP nominated Narendra Modi for the post of Prime Minister, Nitish Kumar severed ties with the NDA. Nitish Kumar, who broke away from the BJP, contested the 2015 assembly elections in Bihar in an alliance with RJD chief Lalu Prasad Yadav and the Congress. The Nitish-Lalu Yadav alliance destroyed the BJP in the Bihar assembly elections. A grand coalition government was formed with Nitish Kumar as Chief Minister and Tejashwi Yadav as Deputy Chief Minister. In 2017, Nitish Kumar suddenly changed his mind and made a political coup. JDU formed the government along with BJP after breaking the alliance with RJD-Congress. Nitish contested the 2020 assembly elections with the BJP, but after ruling Bihar for two years, staged a political coup again in 2022. Nitish once again severed his friendship with the BJP and formed a coalition government with the Congress-RJD and Left parties. Nitish Kumar laid the foundation for the Indian Alliance After switching political affiliations, Nitish Kumar took the initiative to unite the opposition against Narendra Modi. Nitish Kumar is the leader who laid the foundation for the Indian alliance. Initially, Nitish Kumar traveled around the country to unite the opposition parties. The first meeting of the Indian Alliance was held by Nitish Kumar in Patna, but later, before the Lok Sabha elections, he changed his position again. He left the Indian alliance and joined hands with the BJP in the National Democratic Alliance. In the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, Nitish Kumar, who contested the election while in the NDA alliance, won 10 of his MPs. Nitish Kumar's role is crucial as the BJP does not get a majority. If they stay in the NDA, it will be politically beneficial for the BJP, but if they go back, India will save the life of the alliance. In such a situation, BJP can form a government with the help of crutches, but it is difficult to say when a leader like Nitish Kumar will make a mistake. How will the NDA's political boat sail with the help of leaders like Nitish Kumar who specialize in political intrigues?